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World Steel Dynamics Publications List - 2006

Core Reports
January 2006 SSS-EU III. Steel Success Strategies - Europe Conference Proceedings.
March 2006 RRRR. Financial Dynamics of International Steelmakers.
May 2006 SSSS. Global Steel Product Matrix.
April 2006 TTTT. The Cyclone #2: New Twists and Turns.
June 2006 UUUU. Global Steel Export Pricing Forecast to 2015.
July 2006 SSS-XXI. Steel Success Strategies XXI Conference Proceedings.
November 2006 VVVV. Chinese Steel: New Pieces to the Puzzle. Facts and Forecasts to 2010.
The Steel Strategist
August 2006 Steel Strategist #32. The Age of Profits.
Monitor Reports
June 2006 Steel Success Strategies XXI. Steel Surprises Strategies. Steel is Spectacular. Who's Winning?
WSD Papers
January 5, 2006 Steel Thermometer #27 (e-mail only). 2006: Likely a "good year." China: The major exception.
January 24, 2006 Global Steel Alert #27. World steel sheet export prices may be bottoming. Export business is "booming" claim our key contacts.
January 30, 2006 SteelBenchmarker Operations Manual. World Steel Dynamics and Metal Bulletin have pooled their resources to jointly create and sustain a global steel benchmark pricing system.
February 2, 2006 Inside Track #55 (e-mail only). Steel sheet market rallying sooner than expected. Steel shortage odds in 2006 boosted to 25% from 10%.
February 3, 2006 The Steel Game 2006: Odds, Bets & Jackpots (e-mail only). Tampa Port Steel Conference Presentation Slides.
February 10, 2006 Truth & Consequences #32. The Truth: Watching others incites the Urge to Merge. The Consequence: Mating frenzy.
February 22, 2006 Inside Track #56 (e-mail only). STARVED for STEEL! Global steel sheet market strengthening. Shortage odds raised to 45%.
March 10, 2006 Inside Track #57 (e-mail only). The trend is the steel industry's friend. 2006 shaping up to be a positive year for the non-Chinese steel mills.
March 22, 2006 Truth & Consequences #33. The Truth: Hysteria repeating itself. The Consequence: Steel buyers panicking! Sheet shortage beginning.
April 13, 2006 Steel Thermometer #28 (e-mail only). SCRAP IS GOLD. A steel scrap price surge - a 70% likelihood in WSD's opinion - would intensify the current steel shortage.
May 2, 2006 Inside Track #58 (e-mail only). Chinese steel: New pieces to the puzzle. Competitive landscape shifting rapidly for China's steel mill
May 11, 2006 Inside Track #59. Prices moving in one direction: UP. High USA price pulling up the world export price.
May 25, 2006 Inside Track #60 (e-mail only). Steel sheet on steroids. Market in strong shape. Mills' muscles are bulging.
May 26, 2006 Truth & Consequences #34 (e-mail only). The Truth: Drama intensifies for the world's #1 steel producer position. The Consequence: Surprises, surprises and more surprises.
June 19, 2006 Steel Thermometer #29 (e-mail only). Global steel shortage is four months old. World HRB export price may have less upside than we thought before.
June 19-21, 2006 Steel Success Strategies XXI. Conference highlights. Steel's New Game: Bigger Bets - Bigger Jackpots.
June 28, 2006 Truth & Consequences #35 (e-mail only). The Truth: Bigger is better for the steel mills. The Consequence: Investors may also like it, but not steel buyers.
July 5, 2006 Inside Track #61 (e-mail only). World HRB export price seems poised to fall. Increased odds for at least a moderate decline.
July 19, 2006 Global Steel Alert #28. The summer lull. Increased China supply. World HRB export price looks vulnerable.
July 25, 2006 Steel Gem (e-mail only). China's Shagang: Jewel on the Yangtze. Expansionary 15-mtpy private steelmaker operates with low overhead cost.
August 4, 2006 Truth & Consequences #36. The Truth: World HRB export prices and steel scrap prices going down. The Consequence #1: FEARS GOING UP. Consequence #2: Fears lead to bad decision-making.
August 16, 2006 Inside Track #62 (e-mail only). Pressure on Chinese and World export HRB prices. USA and Western Europe markets far more resilient.
August 22, 2006 Inside Track #63 (e-mail only). Non-China steel output surges. Record output rate in July may pressure pricing.
September 7, 2006 Inside Track #64 (e-mail only). Chinese and USA mill ex-works prices are converging.
September 14, 2006 Truth & Consequences #37. The Truth: China's export tax rebate cut to 8% from 11%. Consequence: May drive down Chinese domestic HRB price rather than diminish exports.
September 26, 2006 Steel Thermometer #30. Outlook improved especially for non-Chinese steel mills in 2007. The Chinese export threat seems likely to diminish.
October 11, 2006 Truth & Consequences #38. The truth: Optimistic steel demand forecasts don't serve the interests of the steel mills. The consequence: Excessive capacity may be attracted to the marketplace.
October 12, 2006 Inside Track #65. Steel sheet markets "sticky" on the downside. USA market perhaps the most shaky.
October 27, 2006 Inside Track #66. Global steel market bottoming? Non-Chinese steel production down. China flat.
November 10, 2006 Truth & Consequences #39. The truth: Steelmakers' costs up again in 2006. The consequence: Steel mills need higher prices.
November 13, 2006 Inside Track #67. Steel buyers confused and not buying. HRB price under greatest pressure in the USA.
November 28, 2006 Truth & Consequences #40. The truth: The USA grizzly bear is out of hibernation. The consequence: He is hungry, grumpy, and looking to mate.
December 4, 2006 2007 - Revisiting 2006 or 2005? Wild Cards Galore. Presentation to: Steel Success Strategies - Europe IV Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
December 7, 2006 Truth & Consequences #41. The truth: Chinese HRB ex-works home price far below that elsewhere. The consequence: None. Convergence may not occur.
December 21, 2006 Steel Thermometer #31. Chinese steel output and exports surge to new records. Yet, this surge may promote a rise in the global hot-rolled band export price.
Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices Report
May 30, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending May 29 (e-mail only). HRB up 1%, CRC up 1%, Rebar up 1%, Plate up 1%. Prices remain well below world levels.
June 5, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending June 5 (e-mail only). HRB up 6%, CRC up 3%, Rebar up 2%, Plate up 8%. Prices continue rebound.
June 12, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending June 12 (e-mail only). HRB up 2%, CRC up 1%, Rebar up 1%, Plate up 3%. HRB and CRC prices may be peaking.
June 19, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending June 19 (e-mail only). HRB down 1%, CRC flat, Rebar down 1%, Plate down 1%. HRB and CRC prices peaked as expected.
June 26, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending June 26 (e-mail only). HRB down 2%, CRC down 1%, Rebar down 2%, Plate down 2%. HRB and CRC down again.
July 5, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending July 3 (e-mail only). HRB down 6%, CRC down 1%, Rebar down 5%, Plate down 4%. Panic environment for sheet products.
July 10, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending July 10 (e-mail only). HRB down 7%, CRC down 2%, Rebar down 3%, Plate down 5%. Fourth week of declining prices.
July 17, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending July 17 (e-mail only). HRB down 6%, CRC down 4%, Rebar down 2%, Plate down 7%. Chinese prices under stress.
July 24, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending July 24 (e-mail only). HRB down 3%, CRC down 3%, Rebar flat%, Plate down 5%. China FEAR.
July 31, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending July 31 (e-mail only). HRB, CRC and plate rally moderately. Export ex-works prices far above domestic.
August 7, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending August 7 (e-mail only). China prices mixed.
August 14, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending August 14 (e-mail only). HRB down 1%, CRC down 0.6%, Rebar unchanged, Plate down 0.8%. Prices still under pressure.
August 23, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending August 21 (e-mail only). HRB up 0.5%, CRC down 0.8%, rebar and plate flat. Prices not changing much.
August 29, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending August 28 (e-mail only). HRB up 1%, CRC down 1%, rebar and plate up 1%. Chinese export offensive.
September 7, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending September 4 (e-mail only). HRB up 2%, CRC up 2%, rebar up 2%; plate up 1%. Chinese prices consolidating.
September 11, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending September 11 (e-mail only). Prices up slightly. No new trend yet evident.
September 20, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending September 18 (e-mail only). Prices steady. Higher exports helping sustain stability.
September 26, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending September 25 (e-mail only). HRB up 2%, CRC up 1%, Rebar up 0.3%; Plate up 0.8%. Prices Continue to Inch Up.
October 9, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending October 9 (e-mail only). HRB up 2%, CRC up 1%, Rebar flat; Plate up 1%. Moderate price rally.
October 16, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending October 16 (e-mail only). Prices plateau. Chinese exports up, but maybe not to the USA.
October 23, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending October 23. Prices down moderately. Hot-rolled band prices down 2%; cold rolled prices down 1.6%.
November 2, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending November 2. Chinese prices under moderate downside pressure. Global HRB market may be closer to bottoming.
November 6, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending November 6. Prices in suspended animation. Tax surcharges on slab are a strong hint of what to expect from the Central Government on other products.
December 24, 2006 Chinese Ex-Works Daily Prices: For the week ending December 18. Mills' price outlook perhaps not rosy. Unusually steady prices for the past two months.
Zhe Zhang Zone Report
July 28, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone, 1-4 (e-mail only). Feedback from our 'on-the-ground' employee in China, Mr. Zhang Changan.
August 2, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #5 (e-mail only). Coke export prices keep port bustling. China's coke for export prices about $10 per tonne higher than home market.
August 9, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #6 (e-mail only). Domestic iron ore prices decline $1-3 per tonne. Unapproved investment projects in excess of $12.5 million to be halted.
August 18, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #7 (e-mail only). Life in an iron-mining town. 45%-FE ore unit price is about $30 per tonne.
August 31, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #8 (e-mail only). Chinese business opportunities: Iron ore plant for about $250K and coalmine auctions.
September 8, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #9 (e-mail only). Environmental protection, Chinese style. Steel mills turn on equipment for inspectors, off when they leave.
September 13, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #10 (e-mail only). Inside a Chinese steel "salon". Steel dealers yearn for greater marketplace savy, business information.
October 11, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone 11-15. (e-mail only). #11: Mining in Inner Mongolia. 28 years of iron ore reserves still available. #12: Cracking down on illegal activity. The Shanxi Protection Bureau set 2007 as the date for production to cease at smaller illegally built mills. Illegal coal miners sent to jail. #13: Pig iron produced for $160 per tonne. Coke prices down at $140 per tonne. #14: Iron ore in Daixian County. 62%-Fe ore unit price is about $47 per tonne. 64%-Fe is $54. #15: Iron ore in Fanshi County. 65%-Fe ore unit price is about $64 per tonne including taxes.
October 13, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #16 (e-mail only). Iron ore in Laiyuan County. A recent mine accident has shut down production in Zhijiazhuang Village.
October 18, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #17 (e-mail only). The cats are back to catching the mice. Crackdown on environmental violations reaches the provincial government levels.
October 25, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #18 (e-mail only). Iron ore in Liaoning Province. 65%-Fe ore selling for $57-61 per tonne excluding taxes.
October 31, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #19 (e-mail only). Iron ore sales manager reminisces for 2003 and 2004. " Many rich people emerging" in Jianping County.
November 3, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #20 (e-mail only). Coke export price may rise to $170 per tonne. Beehive coke still being produced in remote areas.
November 21, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #21 (e-mail only). Iron ore mines and a steel mill in Qianxi County. Four wheelers replace trucks as the main ore transport vehicle.
November 27, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #22 (e-mail only). Steel mills in Zunhua City, Hebei Province. Two steel mills producing about 4 million tones of steel per year.
November 29, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #23 (e-mail only). Iron ore in Chicheng County. $61 per tonne 55% iron ore delivered to Xingtai.
December 1, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #24 (e-mail only). Metallurgical coke prices rising. Tightened railway transportation rules is causing delays and worries about supply.
December 19, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #25 (e-mail only). Small pig iron plant closures continue. New dedicated rail-line being built to service the Hedong Coal Base.
December 19, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #26 (e-mail only). Consolidation of iron mines in Liaoning Provice. State owned steel plant targeting 80% internal supply of ore.
December 19, 2006 Zhe Zhang Zone #27 (e-mail only). Blast furnaces dismantled in Shanxi Province. Explosion in Linfen City leaves 4 dead and 5 wounded.

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STEEL SUCCESS STRATEGIES

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